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O que fazer"> <img data-lazyloaded="1" src="data:image/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciIHdpZHRoPSI4MCIgaGVpZ2h0PSI4MCIgdmlld0JveD0iMCAwIDgwIDgwIj48cmVjdCB3aWR0aD0iMTAwJSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxMDAlIiBzdHlsZT0iZmlsbDojY2ZkNGRiO2ZpbGwtb3BhY2l0eTogMC4xOyIvPjwvc3ZnPg==" alt='paula' data-src='/wp-content/litespeed/avatar/e54d3a48f140ae7403cc01ed062eaef2.jpg?ver=1747530541' data-srcset='/wp-content/litespeed/avatar/008c3e5a6d307d0c5ccc51416a9c579f.jpg?ver=1747530541 2x' class='avatar avatar-80 photo' height='80' width='80' decoding='async'/> <span class="meta_text">por</span> <a href="/author/paula/">paula</a></div><div class="jeg_meta_date"> <a href="/2022/04/sem-categoria/mais-uma-seca-severa-prevista-para-esta-parte-da-amazonia-o-que-fazer/">11/04/2022 - 16:25</a></div></div><div class="meta_right"></div></div></div></div><div class="row"><div class="jeg_main_content col-md-no-sidebar-narrow"><div class="jeg_inner_content"><div class="jeg_featured featured_image "><a href="/wp-content/s/2022/04/seca.jpeg"><div class="thumbnail-container" style="padding-bottom:50%"><img data-lazyloaded="1" src="data:image/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciIHdpZHRoPSIxMTQwIiBoZWlnaHQ9IjU3MCIgdmlld0JveD0iMCAwIDExNDAgNTcwIj48cmVjdCB3aWR0aD0iMTAwJSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxMDAlIiBzdHlsZT0iZmlsbDojY2ZkNGRiO2ZpbGwtb3BhY2l0eTogMC4xOyIvPjwvc3ZnPg==" width="1140" height="570" data-src="/wp-content/s/2022/04/seca-1140x570.webp" class="attachment-jnews-1140x570 size-jnews-1140x570 not-transparent wp-post-image" alt="'Mais uma seca severa prevista para esta parte da Amazônia. O que fazer"> <a href="//api.whatsapp.com/send?text=%E2%80%98Mais%20uma%20seca%20severa%20prevista%20para%20esta%20parte%20da%20Amaz%C3%B4nia.%20O%20que%20fazer%3F%E2%80%99%0Ahttps%3A%2F%2Fagazetadoacre.noticiasdoacre.com%2F2022%2F04%2Fsem-categoria%2Fmais-uma-seca-severa-prevista-para-esta-parte-da-amazonia-o-que-fazer%2F" rel='nofollow' data-action="share/whatsapp/share" class="jeg_btn-whatsapp expanded"><i class="fa fa-whatsapp"></i><span>Manda no zap!</span></a><a href="https://www.facebook.com/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fagazetadoacre.noticiasdoacre.com%2F2022%2F04%2Fsem-categoria%2Fmais-uma-seca-severa-prevista-para-esta-parte-da-amazonia-o-que-fazer%2F" rel='nofollow' class="jeg_btn-facebook expanded"><i class="fa fa-facebook-official"></i><span>Compartilhar</span></a><a href="https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?text=%E2%80%98Mais%20uma%20seca%20severa%20prevista%20para%20esta%20parte%20da%20Amaz%C3%B4nia.%20O%20que%20fazer%3F%E2%80%99&url=https%3A%2F%2Fagazetadoacre.noticiasdoacre.com%2F2022%2F04%2Fsem-categoria%2Fmais-uma-seca-severa-prevista-para-esta-parte-da-amazonia-o-que-fazer%2F" rel='nofollow' class="jeg_btn-twitter expanded"><i class="fa fa-twitter"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" height="1em" viewBox="0 0 512 512"><path d="M389.2 48h70.6L305.6 224.2 487 464H345L233.7 318.6 106.5 464H35.8L200.7 275.5 26.8 48H172.4L272.9 180.9 389.2 48zM364.4 421.8h39.1L151.1 88h-42L364.4 421.8z"/></svg></i><span>Tuitar</span></a></div></div></div><div class="content-inner "><p>O Instituto Internacional de Pesquisa (IRI)<a href="#_edn1" name="_ednref1">[i]</a> da Universidade de Columbia nos EUA emite mensalmente previsões de temperatura e chuvas para até seis meses a frente. Recentemente a previsão emitida pelo IRI confirmou a tendência para uma seca severa, começando em maio para o sudoeste da Amazônia, uma área que engloba o Acre no Brasil, Madre de Dios no Peru e Pando na Bolívia. Desde de 2005, tem ocorrido nesta parte da Amazônia secas severas em intervalos de cinco a seis anos. Qual vai ser a nossa resposta desta vez?</p><p>A seca de 2005 e seus grandes incêndios estavam fora da experiência de muitas pessoas. Até aquele ano, o conhecimento geral foi de que as florestas do oeste da Amazônia eram úmidas demais para queimar. Mas em 2005, as florestas secaram tanto que o fogo se alastrou dentro delas, com linhas de fogo de quilômetros de extensão. Estes fogos afetaram as copas das árvores em alguns pontos, permitindo a sua detecção via imagens de satélite. Cerca de 350 mil hectares de florestas no Acre<a href="#_edn2" name="_ednref2">[ii]</a> tiveram as suas copas afetadas e mais de 120 mil hectares de florestas em Pando<a href="#_edn3" name="_ednref3">[iii]</a>. Madre de Dios não escapou, com cerca de 20 mil hectares de florestas afetadas.</p><p>A área de floresta afetada no Acre foi equivalente a um retângulo de 35 quilômetros por 100 quilômetros. Também queimaram mais de 500 mil de hectares de pastos e cultivos <a href="#_edn4" name="_ednref4">[iv]</a>. Em muitas florestas, o fogo rasteiro mata as pequenas árvores mas às vezes não afeta a copa. As áreas de florestas afetadas pelo fogo em 2005 podem ser bem maiores do que estes números indicam. A fumaça gerada por estes incêndios em 2005 chegou a poluir o ar com concentrações dezenas de vezes superiores ao máximo permitido diariamente pela Organização Mundial de Saude – OMS.<a href="#_edn5" name="_ednref5">[v]</a></p><p>Depois da seca de 2005 muitos acharam que ela representava a maior seca do século<a href="#_edn6" name="_ednref6">[vi]</a>, um evento extremamente raro<a href="#_edn7" name="_ednref7">[vii]</a>. Então, a seca severa de 2010 veio e cobriu uma área maior da Amazônia do que a observada em 2005.<a href="#_edn8" name="_ednref8">[viii]</a> No entanto, no Acre, o estrago foi um pouco menor do que em 2005, com cerca de 120 mil hectares de florestas com copas afetadas pelo fogo<sup>ii</sup>. Depois chegou a seca severa de 2016 em grande parte da Amazônia<a href="#_edn9" name="_ednref9">[ix]</a>, afetando pelo menos 30 mil hectares de florestas no Acre<sup>ii</sup>.</p><p>O clima da Amazônia sempre varia, mas este padrão de secas severas cada vez mais frequentes levanta a questão se isso foge do que se esperava em termos de flutuações naturais. Cientistas sérios são cautelosos em dizer que um evento extremo de clima é resultado unicamente de atividade humana. Geralmente, falam que a influência humana aumentaria as chances de um evento extremo ocorrer<a href="#_edn10" name="_ednref10">[x]</a>. Em nossa região, temos a atividade humana global aumentando a concentração de gases de efeito estufa<a href="#_edn11" name="_ednref11">[xi]</a> e expandindo o desmatamento regional que reduz a ciclagem de água e aumenta o calor<a href="#_edn12" name="_ednref12">[xii]</a>.</p><p>Como notamos, o aumento da frequência de secas severas, que era de uma por século, agora está sendo uma a cada 5-6 anos. Esta é a tendência que combina com um prolongamento do período seco observado nas últimas quatro décadas, especialmente no sul da Amazônia<a href="#_edn13" name="_ednref13">[xiii]</a>. Junto com o período seco mais prolongado, temos temperaturas aumentando na nossa região <a href="#_edn14" name="_ednref14">[xiv]</a>. A combinação de temperaturas subindo e a estiagem prolongando não é boa, nem para agricultura, nem para pecuária<a href="#_edn15" name="_ednref15">[xv]</a> e nem para abastecimento de água das cidades. As florestas da Amazônia estão perdendo a sua resiliência<a href="#_edn16" name="_ednref16">[xvi]</a> de recuperação das secas nas últimas duas décadas e correm risco de entrar em colapso<a href="#_edn17" name="_ednref17">[xvii]</a>.</p><p>O que fazer? David Lapola da Universidade de Campinas e outros colegas fizeram 20 recommendações específicas<a href="#_edn18" name="_ednref18">[xviii]</a> que podem ajudar a resolver estes e outros problemas na Amazônia. Elas serão discutidas num outro artigo, mas duas coisas cabem na categoria de “<em>quando se encontra num buraco, pare de cavar</em>.” A primeira ação é parar de desmatar. Os prejuizos econômicos, sociais e ambientais de longo prazo vão ser muito maiores do que os benefícios econômicos de curto prazo. Também evitar queimadas associadas a desmatamento reduziria problemas respiratórios causados pela fumaça<a href="#_edn19" name="_ednref19">[xix]</a>.</p><p>A segunda ação é reflorestar áreas degradadas. No Acordo de Paris da ONU, o Brasil se comprometeu a reflorestar 12 milhões de hectares até 2030<a href="#_edn20" name="_ednref20">[xx]</a>. Na Amazônia, o reflorestamento seria uma maneira de restaurar parcialmente a água necessária para agricultura e abastecimento de cidades. Esta água é fornecida pelos ´rios voadores<a href="#_edn21" name="_ednref21">[xxi]</a> ´que levam água do oceano Atlântico para a Amazônia e até o sul do Brasil, Bolívia, Peru, Paraguai e Argentina.</p><p>Podemos começar este ano com um programa efetivo de controle de queimadas durante a seca, mas vamos precisar agir rapidamente<a href="#_edn22" name="_ednref22">[xxii]</a>. O esforço para este ano precisa ser expandido e continuado para mudar o cenário de destruição da Amazônia com aplicação de manejo mais sustentável da agricultura e pecuária, evitar os desmatamentos e queimadas ilegais e reflorestar as margens de rios e igarapés na região.</p><p>Ou podemos deixar o ‘<em>status quo’</em> continuar acelerando as mudanças que já estão em curso, onde secas extremas, ondas de calor e as chuvas vão ficar ainda mais fortes e intensos nos anos e décadas que vem. Neste caso, temos que pedir anticipadamente desculpas aos nossos filhos, netos e bisnetos por deixar para eles uma Amazônia ferida.</p><p><img data-lazyloaded="1" src="data:image/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciIHdpZHRoPSI1MzMiIGhlaWdodD0iNjAwIiB2aWV3Qm94PSIwIDAgNTMzIDYwMCI+PHJlY3Qgd2lkdGg9IjEwMCUiIGhlaWdodD0iMTAwJSIgc3R5bGU9ImZpbGw6I2NmZDRkYjtmaWxsLW9wYWNpdHk6IDAuMTsiLz48L3N2Zz4=" data-dominant-color="eaf0e0" data-has-transparency="false" style="--dominant-color: #eaf0e0;" decoding="async" class="alignnone size-large wp-image-630260 not-transparent" data-src="/wp-content/s/2022/04/mapa-533x600.gif" alt="'Mais uma seca severa prevista para esta parte da Amazônia. O que fazer"> <a class="elementor-button elementor-button-link elementor-size-md" href="https://chat.whatsapp.com/Dr2DfLyJvKg1GCOpocvVZT" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> <span class="elementor-button-content-wrapper"> <span class="elementor-button-icon"> <i aria-hidden="true" class="fab fa-whatsapp"></i> </span> <span class="elementor-button-text">RECEBA NOTÍCIAS NO CELULAR</span> </span> </a></div></div></div></div></div></div></section></div></div></div></div><p>[1] Cots et al. “Análisis de la superficie afectada por fuego en el departamento de Pando el año 2005 a partir de la clasificación de imágenes del satélite CBERS.” Anais XIII Simpósio Brasileiro de Sensoriamento Remoto, Florianópolis. 2007: 835-842.</p><p> </p><p>[1] Shimabukuro et al. “Fraction Images Derived from Terra Modis Data for Mapping Burnt Areas in Brazilian Amazonia.” <em>International Journal of Remote Sensing.</em> (2009): 1537–46. https://doi.org/10.1080/01431160802509058.</p><p> </p><p>[1] Duarte et al. “Events of high particulate matter (smoke) concentrations in eastern Acre and their spatial relationship with regional biomass burning: the case of September 2005.” Anais XIII Simpósio Brasileiro de Sensoriamento Remoto, Florianópolis 2007: 4453-4456.</p><p> </p><p>[1] Marengo et al. “The Drought of Amazonia in 2005”. <em>J. Climate</em> 21, (2008): 495–516. https://doi.org/10.1175/2007JCLI1600.1.</p><p> </p><p>[1] J. A. Marengo e J. C. Espinoza, “Extreme seasonal droughts and floods in Amazonia: causes, trends and impacts”, <em>International Journal of Climatology</em> 36, (2016): 1033–50, https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4420.</p><p> </p><p>[1] Lewis et al. “The 2010 Amazon Drought”. <em>SCIENCE</em> 331, (2011): 554. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1200807.</p><p> </p><p>[1] Erfanian et al. “Unprecedented Drought over Tropical South America in 2016: Significantly under-Predicted by Tropical SST.” <em>Scientific Reports</em> 7, (2017): 5811. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-05373-2.</p><p> </p><p>[1] IPCC, 2021: Summary for Policymakers. In: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental on Climate Change</p><p> </p><p>[1] Sampaio et al. “CO2 Fertilization Effect Can Cause Rainfall Decrease as Strong as Large-Scale Deforestation in the Amazon.” <em>Biogeosciences Discussions</em> 2020 (2020): 1–21.</p><p> </p><p>[1] Cohn et al. “Forest Loss in Brazil Increases Maximum Temperatures within 50 Km.” <em>Environmental Research Letters</em> 14, (2019): 084047. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab31fb.</p><p> </p><p>[1] Marengo et al. “Changes in Climate and Land Use Over the Amazon Region: Current and Future Variability and Trends.” <em>Frontiers in Earth Science</em> 6 (2018): 228. https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2018.00228.</p><p> </p><p>[1] Almeida et al. “Spatiotemporal Rainfall and Temperature Trends throughout the Brazilian Legal Amazon, 1973–2013.” <em>International Journal of Climatology</em> 37, no. 4 (March 1, 2017): 2013–26. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4831.</p><p> </p><p>[1] Rattis et al. “Climatic Limit for Agriculture in Brazil.” <em>Nature Climate Change</em> 11, no. 12 (December 1, 2021): 1098–1104. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01214-3. Leite-Filho et al. “Deforestation Reduces Rainfall and Agricultural Revenues in the Brazilian Amazon.” <em>Nature Communications</em> 12, no. 1 (May 10, 2021): 2591. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-22840-7.</p><p> </p><p>[1] Boulton et al. “Pronounced Loss of Amazon Rainforest Resilience since the Early 2000s.” <em>Nature Climate Change</em>, 2022, 1–8.</p><p> </p><p>[1] Lovejoy, Thomas E., and Carlos Nobre. “Amazon Tipping Point: Last Chance for Action.” <em>Science Advances</em> 5, (2019): eaba2949. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aba2949.</p><p> </p><p>[1] Lapola et al. “Limiting the High Impacts of Amazon Forest Dieback with No-Regrets Science and Policy Action.” <em>Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences</em> 115, (2018): 11671–79. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1721770115.</p><p> </p><p>[1] Butt et al. “Large Air Quality and Public Health Impacts due to Amazonian Deforestation Fires in 2019”. <em>GeoHealth</em> 5, (2021): e2021GH000429. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GH000429.</p><p> </p><p>[1]https://www4.unfccc.int/sites/ndcstaging/PublishedDocuments/Brazil%20First/BRAZIL%20iNDC%20english%20FINAL.pdf</p><p> </p><p>[1] Arraut et al. “Aerial Rivers and Lakes: Looking at Large-Scale Moisture Transport and Its Relation to Amazonia and to Subtropical Rainfall in South America.” <em>Journal of Climate</em> 25, (2011): 543–56.</p><p> </p><p>[1] Brando et al. “The Gathering Firestorm in Southern Amazonia.” <em>Science Advances</em> 6, no. 2 (2020): eaay1632. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aay1632.</p><p> </p><p> </p><p> </p><div class="sharedaddy sd-sharing-enabled"><div class="robots-nocontent sd-block sd-social sd-social-official sd-sharing"><h3 class="sd-title">Compartilhe:</h3><div class="sd-content"><ul><li class="share-jetpack-whatsapp"><a rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" data-shared="" class="share-jetpack-whatsapp sd-button" href="/2022/04/sem-categoria/mais-uma-seca-severa-prevista-para-esta-parte-da-amazonia-o-que-fazer/?share=jetpack-whatsapp" target="_blank" title="Clique para compartilhar no WhatsApp" ><span>WhatsApp</span></a></li><li class="share-facebook"><div class="fb-share-button" data-href="/2022/04/sem-categoria/mais-uma-seca-severa-prevista-para-esta-parte-da-amazonia-o-que-fazer/" data-layout="button_count"></div></li><li class="share-x"><a href="https://x.com/share" class="twitter-share-button" data-url="/2022/04/sem-categoria/mais-uma-seca-severa-prevista-para-esta-parte-da-amazonia-o-que-fazer/" data-text="'Mais uma seca severa prevista para esta parte da Amazônia. 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